My latest research indicates that import controls will be a crucial determinant of GDP growth and economic stability.

This research first analyses the evolution of four GDP by end-use variables (Household Consumption, Government Spending, Exports, and Imports) for the top 40 economies in the world, covering up to 90% of the global economy. The first part of the research project is determined by a longitudinal analysis of 40+ years, resulting in a linear regression to the expected GDP value of each nation for 2030. Secondly, both a Monte Carlo and a sensitivity simulation analysis are performed.

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