A Top Voice in International Trade and Business and Economics. US-CHINA Global Supremacy. #1 Best Seller in Amazon (December 1-5th, 2024, Comparative Economics)
Presentation of this project
THE GLOBAL ECONOMY IN 2030
This is the portal created by Prof. GM. Here you can analyze the evolution of the most important magnitudes of the GDP of the Top 40 nations in the world. This research covers the past, present, and future of 90% of the Global Economy.
The portal provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of the Global GDP, focusing on its components by end-use categories. The key GDP components examined include household consumption, government spending, investment, exports, and imports.
The analysis spans the past 40 to 60 years, covering the top 40 nations by GDP, which account for 90% of the world's total economic output. Each component is presented with detailed charts and mathematical forecasts for 2030, offering insights into the future trajectory of these economies. Additionally, each country features a "risk and uncertainties analysis model" to assess the statistical sensitivity of each GDP component more effectively.
GDP BY END-USE
Shows who does the spending in an economy: consumers, businesses, government, and foreigners. The distribution gives the percentage contribution to total GDP of household consumption, government consumption, investment in fixed capital, investment in inventories, exports of goods and services, and imports of goods and services. Figures may not total 100% due to rounding or gaps in data collection.
household consumption consists of expenditures by resident households, and by nonprofit institutions that serve households, on goods and services that individuals consume. This includes consumption of both domestically produced and foreign goods and services.
government consumption consists of government expenditures on goods and services. These figures exclude government transfer payments, such as interest on debt, unemployment, and social security.
investment in fixed capital consists of total business spending on fixed assets, such as factories, machinery, equipment, dwellings, and raw materials, which provide the basis for future production. It is measured gross of asset depreciation, i.e., it includes investment that merely replaces worn-out or scrapped capital. Earlier versions of The World Factbook referred to this concept as Investment (gross fixed), and that data now have been moved to this new field.
investment in inventories consists of net changes to the stock of outputs that are still held by the units that produce them, awaiting further sale to an end user, such as automobiles sitting on a dealer’s lot or groceries on the store shelves. This figure may be positive or negative. If the stock of unsold output increases during the relevant time period, investment in inventories is positive, but, if the stock of unsold goods declines, it will be negative.
exports of goods and services consist of sales, barter, gifts, or grants of goods and services from residents to nonresidents.
imports of goods and services consist of purchases, barter, or receipts of gifts, or grants of goods and services to residents from nonresidents. Exports are treated as a positive, while imports are treated as a negative. Imports are entered as a negative item to offset the fact that the expenditure figures for consumption, investment, government, and exports also include expenditures on imports. These imports contribute directly to foreign GDP but only indirectly to domestic GDP. Because of this negative offset for imports of goods and services, the sum of the other five items, excluding imports, will always total more than 100 percent of GDP.
GDP = HC + GS + I + BOT (Exp-Imp)
HC: Household Consumption
GS: Government Spending
I: Investment
BOT. Balance of Trade
Exp: Exports
Imp: Imports
